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Reexamining Stock Valuation and Inflation: The Implications of Analysts’ Earnings Forecasts

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Both financial market participants and policymakers, such as central banks, closely follow financial market developments. However, the motivation for their interest in the financial markets differs in the sense that investors monitor asset price movements to optimize the risk-return profile on their investments, whereas central banks use financial market prices to infer information about market ex- pectations of economic growth and inflation.