As set out in Appendix 1, we assume that there will be 12,258 vehicles in service in April 2014. In our Medium scenario, the total fleet size increases to 14,062 vehicles by the end of March 2019, a net increase of 1,804 vehicles. The Thameslink, Crossrail and IEP procurements will add, as a central estimate, around 2,500 vehicles to the fleet. On a like-for-like basis this will therefore displace around 700 vehicles. We identified 3,222 vehicles (Appendix 2) reaching the end of their nominal terms of use during CP5. Therefore by the end of CP5, there.
