It is not always clear how the differences in intrinsic evaluation metrics for a parser or classifier will affect the performance of the system that uses it. We investigate the relationship between the intrinsic evaluation scores of an interpretation component in a tutorial dialogue system and the learning outcomes in an experiment with human users. Following the PARADISE methodology, we use multiple linear regression to build predictive models of learning gain, an important objective outcome metric in tutorial dialogue. We show that standard intrinsic metrics such as F-score alone do not predict the outcomes well. .