Dynamic behavior of onion prices in Turkey

This study analyzes the onion market and the dynamic behavior of real onion prices in Turkey. The price responsiveness of the supply, demand and export of dry onions was determined. | Turk J Agric For 25 (2001) 195-200 © TÜB‹TAK Dynamic Behavior of Onion Prices in Turkey Halil F‹DAN Department of Agricultural Economics, Ankara University, D›flkap›, Ankara - TURKEY Ali KOÇ Agricultural Economics Research Institute Etlik, Ankara - TURKEY Received: Abstract: This study analyzes the onion market and the dynamic behavior of real onion prices in Turkey. The price responsiveness of the supply, demand and export of dry onions was determined. The equilibrium price for producers was derived using the market closing condition of the partial equilibrium model. Price flexibility was also estimated using wholesale market data. The results verified the existence of cyclical behavior of onion prices in the market. The elasticities evaluated at the sample mean were , , and for supply, export demand and flexibility respectively. The household consumption data indicates that per capita consumption of onions increases as income grows and decreases as the urban population rises. Key Words: Turkey, Onion Markets, Dynamic behovior of the Onion Price, Price Dynamism, Price Flexibility Türkiye’de So¤an Fiyatlar›n›n Dinamik Davran›fl› Özet: Bu çal›flmada, Türkiye’de kuru so¤an pazar›n› ve fiyatlar›n›n dinamik davran›fl›n› analiz edilmektedir. Çal›flmada kuru so¤an›n talebi, ihracat› ve arz›n›n fiyat duyarl›l›¤› belirlenmifltir. K›smi denge modeli ile denge flart›ndan üretici denge fiyatlar› türetilmifltir. Çal›flmada ayn› zamanda “Ankara Toptanc› Hal’inden” al›nan veriler kullan›larak so¤an›n fiyat fleksibilitesi de tahmin edilmifltir. Çal›flma sonuçlar› so¤an fiyatlar›n›n devresel hareket sergiledi¤ini do¤rulam›flt›r. Gözlem de¤erlerinin ortalamas›ndan arz ve ihracat talep esnekli¤i ve fiyat fleksibilitesi s›ras›yla 0,26, -1,02 ve –0,24 olarak hesaplanm›flt›r. Hane halk› tüketim verileri kifli bafl›na kuru so¤an tüketiminin gerilin büyümesiyle artaca¤›n› ve flehirleflme ile azalaca¤›n› göstermektedir. Anahtar Sözcükler: Türkiye, So¤an .

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