Revisiting uncertain investment and financing decisions using entry probability

This paper extends the work of Chen and Chang (2010) and attempts to present a model for the optimal investment threshold and the real option value under price uncertainty from a different aspect of entry probability. I measure a financing policy by the debt ratio, a weight for the proportion of funding by debt relative to funding by equity. The weight is exogenously embedded in the stochastic optimization of an investment opportunity under price uncertainty. An entry probability, indicating the likelihood of an investment action optimally taken at a future time instant, is derived. Sensitivity analyses are performed to investigate the effects of parameters such as price volatility and price drift. The results demonstrate that price drift and price volatility might have different effects, depending on the time elapsed and on the debt ratio. | Revisiting uncertain investment and financing decisions using entry probability

Không thể tạo bản xem trước, hãy bấm tải xuống
TÀI LIỆU MỚI ĐĂNG
Đã phát hiện trình chặn quảng cáo AdBlock
Trang web này phụ thuộc vào doanh thu từ số lần hiển thị quảng cáo để tồn tại. Vui lòng tắt trình chặn quảng cáo của bạn hoặc tạm dừng tính năng chặn quảng cáo cho trang web này.