Forecasting of area/yield/production of crops is one of the important aspects in agricultural sector. Crop yield forecasts are extremely useful in formulation of policies regarding stock, distribution and supply of agricultural produce to different areas in the country. In this study the forecast values of area, yield and hence production of rabi pulses are found. ARIMA method should not be used for finding the forecasted values for the testing period as this would increase the uncertainty with the end period of testing data. The uncertainty will further increase for the next future periods for which we want to obtain the forecast values. So, in the present study, the regression models are tried for the purpose of forecasting as these models have no such limitation. | Exploring appropriate regression model to forecast production of Rabi pulse in Odisha India
