Droughts happen when there is not enough rainfall for a longer period of time. When there is so little precipitation (rainfall, snow etc.) the whole region starts to dry out. Sometimes a drought take decades to develop fully and they are very difficult to predict. Rainfall data of 15 years (2001-2015) based on standard weeks was analyzed for Etawah district of Uttar Pradesh. | 2021 10 03 780-790 International Journal of Current Microbiology and Applied Sciences ISSN 2319-7706 Volume 10 Number 03 2021 Journal homepage http Original Research Article https Prediction of Rainfall at Different Probability Levels for Estimation of Drought Pattern in Etawah District of Uttar Pradesh Avanish Yadav1 H. C. Singh2 Awadhesh Kumar3 and Anil Kumar4 1 Department of Soil and Water conservation 4Department of Horticulture Sam Higginbottom University of Agriculture Technology amp Sciences Prayagraj . India 2 Dr. Bhim Rao Ambedkar College of Agricultural Engineering amp Technology Etawah . India 3 BRDPG College Deoria . India Corresponding author ABSTRACT Droughts happen when there is not enough rainfall for a longer period of time. When there is so little precipitation rainfall snow etc. the whole region starts to dry out. Sometimes Keywords a drought take decades to develop fully and they are very difficult to predict. Rainfall data of 15 years 2001-2015 based on standard weeks was analyzed for Etawah district of Rainfall Probability Uttar Pradesh. The monthly maximum rainfall at different probability levels was level Drought calculated using Gumbel s Probability method. The daily rainfall data series was divided pattern Etawah into annual seasonal monthly and weekly data series. A year was divided into three seasons . monsoon June to September winter October to January and summer Article Info February to May . The last day of every year 365 th day and last two days of a leap year are accounted as 52nd week. It was observed that the maximum number of drought weeks Accepted during the 15 years period was 15 times during the 19th week while the minimum numbers 14 February 2021 of drought weeks was 6 times which were found in the 33 th and 35th standard week. The Available Online maximum number of surplus weeks during the 15 years period was 4 during 27 th 32th .
