Tham khảo tài liệu 'toffler alvin future shock phần 9', ngoại ngữ, ngữ pháp tiếng anh phục vụ nhu cầu học tập, nghiên cứu và làm việc hiệu quả | to create enclaves of the past where the rate of change is artificially slowed or enclaves of the future in which individuals can pre-sample future environments we may also wish to set aside even subsidize special high-novelty communities in which advanced drugs power sources vehicles cosmetics appliances and other innovations are experimentally used and investigated. A corporation today will routinely field test a product to make sure it performs its primary function. The same company will market test the product to ascertain whether it will sell. But with rare exception no one post-checks the consumer or the community to determine what the human side effects have been. Survival in the future may depend on our learning to do so. Even when life-testing proves unfeasible it is still possible for us systematically to anticipate the distant effects of various technologies. Behavioral scientists are rapidly developing new tools from mathematical modeling and simulation to so-called Delphi analyses that permit us to make more informed judgments about the consequences of our actions. We are piecing together the conceptual hardware needed for the social evaluation of technology we need but to make use of it. Third an even more difficult and pointed question Apart from actual changes in the social structure how will a proposed new technology affect the value system of the society We know little about value structures and how they change but there is reason to believe that they too are heavily impacted by technology. Elsewhere I have proposed that we develop a new profession of value impact forecasters men and women trained to use the most advanced behavioral science techniques to appraise the value implications of proposed technology. At the University of Pittsburgh in 1967 a group of distinguished economists scientists architects planners writers and philosophers engaged in a day-long simulation intended to advance the art of value forecasting. At Harvard the Program on .
