Không phải tất cả mọi thứ diễn ra theo đúng kế hoạch, trong thực tế, điều này là hiếm khi, nếu bao giờ hết, các trường hợp. Do đó, bạn nên xem xét các vấn đề có thể xảy ra và phát triển một chiến lược để đối phó với họ. Nó không phải là những vấn đề dự kiến sẽ gây ra những khó khăn, nhưng đúng hơn là các vấn đề đột xuất. | PRACTICAL PLANNING CONTINGENCY PLANNING Not everything goes according to plan in fact this is rarely if ever the case. You should therefore look at possible problems and develop a strategy for dealing with them. It is not the expected problems that cause difficulties but rather the unexpected problems. A good way of looking at these is to contrast the probability of an event with the magnitude of damage if it occurs. For example an earthquake might be unlikely in say the UK but could devastate your business if it occurred. In California however it will be much more probable. An employee is likely to be sick occasionally but this should not seriously damage your business unless that person has an indispensable role. The combination of the two allows you to plan contingency action to cover the issues. The chart on the next page shows one organisation s analysis and weighting of risks. PRACTICAL PLANNING RISK ASSESSMENT MATRIX ALMOST VERY UNLIKELY LESS THAN EVEN MORE THAN PROBABLE VERY ALMOST IMPOSSIBLE UNLIKELY EVEN CHANCE CHANCE EVEN CHANCE LIKELY CERTAIN LIKELIHOOD OF RISK RISK CATEGORY AVOID LAY-OFF INSURE QUANTIFY ABSORB IGNORE PRACTICAL PLANNING CONTINGENCY PLANNING There are many events that can have adverse impacts on your business - they will depend upon the exact nature of your markets and the supply chain environment etc. Below is a list of some of these however it is neither exhaustive nor exclusive so you must think them through for yourself and ensure that your plan addresses them Strikes - your own staff or suppliers distributors Price war - in your market or suppliers substitute goods Legislation change - positive or negative Change of government Embargo - goods in or out Plant failure Fire Inflation Currency fluctuations Technological obsolescence Shocks - eg oil price rise in .
