Một cách nhìn vào những Ngược lại xác suất của một sự kiện có tầm quan trọng của thiệt hại nếu nó xảy ra. Ví dụ, một trận động đất có thể là không, nói, Vương quốc Anh nhưng có thể tàn phá kinh doanh của bạn nếu nó xảy ra. (California, tuy nhiên, sẽ có thể xảy ra nhiều hơn nữa.) | PRACTICAL PLANNING PLANNING TOOLS TECHNIQUES GANTT CHART EXAMPLE ID Task Name Duration 60d Start December January February 30 11 07 12 14 12 21 12 28 12 04 01 11 01 18 01 25 01 01 02 08 02 15 02 Sun 30 11 97 commence planning cycle 1 2 collect economic data 20d Mon 01 12 97 3 obtain final sign-off to last year s budget 0d Sun 30 11 97 4 analyse 35d Fri 21 01 98 5 prepare assumptions for planning 25d Tue 02 12 97 6 obtain sign-off 0d Mon 05 01 98 7 circulate to managers 5d Tue 06 01 98 8 develop budget guidelines 25d Tue 02 12 97 9 send out to managers 5d Mon 16 02 98 10 develop corporate targets 35d Mon 29 12 97 Milestone o 30 11 97 08 00 05 01 98 17 00 PRACTICAL PLANNING PLANNING TOOLS TECHNIQUES PERT ANALYSIS PERT which stands for Project Evaluation Resource Techniques is another form of planning which focuses on the tasks that must be carried out and the relationship between them. It shows dependencies and measures the critical path ie those tasks which must be carried out to ensure that the end objectives are reached. It was developed for very complex projects such as building submarines etc but can be used to provide a visual representation of the relationships between a set of tasks in any plan. It gives information by task such as task number time to complete which tasks precede and which follow as well as start and end dates. It is particularly useful in that it identifies those tasks critical to success and enables you to model what happens if they change. See diagram opposite PRACTICAL PLANNING PLANNING TOOLS TECHNIQUES PERT CHART commence planning cycle 1 60 days Sun 30 11 97 Fri 20 02 98 analyse 4_ Fri 02 01 98 35 days Thu 19 02 98 collect economic data prepare assumptions for planning 20 days Mon 01 12 97 Fri 26 12 97 25 days Tue 02 12 97 Mon 05 01 98 obtain sign-off 6 0 days Mon 05 01 98 Mon 05 01 98 circulate to managers 7_5 days Tue 06 01 97 Mon 12 01 98 2 5 develop corporate targets 10 35d Mon 29 12 97 Fri 13 02 98 obtain final
