Đang chuẩn bị liên kết để tải về tài liệu:
Migration process in Vietnam in the context of global climate change

With a population of over 90 million, Vietnam is one of the most populous countries in the world, and a great potential for the workforce. The paper analyzes the correlation of population rapid growth and a part of Vietnam territory may be reduced due to sea level rise, which could lead labor forces to migrate, possibly towards Russia, Europe - the region has a long history in receiving the Vietnamese migrants. Suggestions are also made for Vietnam to cope with global climate change. | Vietnam Social Sciences, No. 3(167) - 2015 Migration Process in Vietnam in the Context of Global Climate Change Sergei V. Ryozantsev * Nguyen Canh Toan ** Archem C.L. *** Roman V.M. **** Abstract: With a population of over 90 million, Vietnam is one of the most populous countries in the world, and a great potential for the workforce. The paper analyzes the correlation of population rapid growth and a part of Vietnam territory may be reduced due to sea level rise, which could lead labor forces to migrate, possibly towards Russia, Europe - the region has a long history in receiving the Vietnamese migrants. Suggestions are also made for Vietnam to cope with global climate change. Key words: Global climate change, immigration, labor force, Vietnam, Russia. 1. Global climate change leads to labor migration There were many disasters occurred in the 20th century, categorically natural and artificial disasters. The strong population growth in the world also took place in the 20th century. Among many global threats upon humanity, International Association of Academies of Sciences suggested that global warming is inevitable. One of the main reasons is increased emissions of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere that made climate warming. In the 1990s, emissions increased by 1.1% annually; in the 2000s, it was 3%. This will lead to unpredictable consequences, including rising sea levels and many flooded regions. Many research results indicate that sea level rise has been happening especially rapid since the 20th century. According to climate research forecasts, oceans level will 42 rise approximately 35 – 40 cm by the end of the 21st century. Climate research models reveal satellite and hydrological observation data suggesting that sea level rise diversifies across the world. A special report on climate change done by expert groups predicted that by the mid-2090, ocean water level would rise from 0.22 to 0.44m than in 1990, and it would increase by about 4 mm per .