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Oil price fluctuation and current accounts: Exploring mediation effects for oil importing nations

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The study is an attempt to examine empirically the effects of oil price shock on current account imbalances. The analysis is carried out on the crosscountry panel of 160 countries that are divided into three different groups base on their level of oil imports. The relationship between the oil price shock and current account imbalances is rigorously assessed using two different approaches. Firstly, the seemingly unrelated regression models are used to estimate the effects of oil price shock on current account imbalances with transmission channels namely trade, valuation, and wealth. Secondly, to examine the indirect effects of oil price shock three different mediator effects that direct, indirect, and total are estimated. |

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