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Global Economic Prospects Realizing the Development Promise of the Doha Agenda phần 9

giá có thể rơi trên các tuyến đường trung tâm kết nối, trong khi gia tăng trên một số tuyến đường nói. Để giảm nguy cơ này bằng cách cross-trợ cấp vận chuyển đến vùng sâu vùng xa và người nghèo trong lục địa, các khái niệm về dịch vụ phổ cập phải được chấp nhận quốc tế. | Appendix 1 Regional Economic Prospects East Asia and Pacific Recent developments The year 2002 was one of solid recovery in much of East Asia. GDP growth in developing East Asia rose from 5.5 percent in 2001 to 6.7 percent in 2002. However the renewed economic slowdown in the developed world relatively high oil prices in the first part of 2003 and the SARS outbreak in the region dampened the pace of the regional recovery in the first half of 2003. However East Asian growth is expected to rebound progressively as economies get beyond the shortrun impact of SARS oil prices wane and global growth revives. A smart rebound in exports was one important driver in the regional recovery in 2002 regional exports rose nearly 14 percent in dollar terms after having been flat in 2001 as a result of the global slowdown and the deep recession in world high-tech demand. Intrare-gional exports were especially strong in particular to China which is emerging as a major hub for regional production and trade networks. Robust household consumption provided further support for the recovery and in several cases the year saw the start of a stronger trend in fixed investment as well. But the regional picture was not uniformly upbeat with more modest growth rates or even continued outright recession in some of the smaller or lower-income economies. As has been the case for some years growth in 2002 was strongest in the transition economies China and Vietnam where sustained strength in exports consumption and investment pushed 2002 GDP growth to 8 percent and 7 percent respectively. But growth also strengthened in several of the countries that had been hardest hit by 2001 s fall in world-trade growth and high-tech demand exceeding 6 percent in Korea 5 percent in Thailand and 4 percent in both Malaysia and the Philippines. Prompt policy action helped mute the impact of the Bali terrorist attack on Indonesia s economy which nevertheless managed only 3-4 percent growth for a second year. Overall