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Taking Stock: The Bush Faith-Based Initiative and What Lies Ahead

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An inspection of Panel A reveals that all seven stock indexes display the same lunar-cycle pattern found in U.S. returns. Mean daily returns around new moon dates are always higher than returns around full moon dates, and the difference is usually considerable. However, due to the relatively short time-series of observations, the t- statistics for most individual countries are insignificant, with only the Frankfurt and the Toronto results approaching significance at conventional levels (t-statistics of 1.75 and 1.88). This return pattern also seems fairly persistent, with the percentage of years in which new moon returns exceed full.

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